CAMBIO CLIMÁTICO Y CONTAMINACIÓN AMBIENTAL COMO GENERADORES DE CRISIS ALIMENTARIA EN LA AMÉRICA ANDINA: UN ANÁLISIS EMPÍRICO PARA ECUADOR

Resumen

From the perspective of food sovereignty, this investigation has as main objective to investigate the relationship between population growth and agriculture lands of Ecuador (1970 – 2013). These elements combined with climate change and environmental pollution show that we are moving into a food crisis. This investigation has been done using MCO, VAR and GRANGER’s econometric model. Data sources are World Bank (2015) and Instituto Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología (INAMHI). The results demonstrate an inverse and long term relation between arable lands and total population. Furthermore, there is a significant effect of CO2 emissions, temperature and precipitation on agricultural lands availability.
KEYWORDS: food sovereignty, farmlands, population growth, climate change, Ecuador.
MSC: 91B76